Bitcoin 'finally' due for $32.8K as long-term BTC price metric flashes overvalued

Bitcoin ‘finally’ due for $32.8K as long-term BTC price metric flashes overvalued

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly returned to $30,000 before the May 25 Wall Street open as range adherence lingered.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Trader: BTC should challenge 2-week highs

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD managing to hit $30,189 on Bitstamp before consolidating back under the $30,000 mark.

While appearing uninspiring at first glance, Bitcoin on low timeframes was a source of fresh interest for Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe, who predicted a run to near $33,000 next.

“Bitcoin broke through $29.4K and ran towards the next resistance zone,” he told Twitter followers.

“If we hold $29.4K, we’ll be good towards $32.8K. Finally.”

$32,800 would represent Bitcoin’s highest since May 9 — just before the Terra implosion sparked its cascade to ten-month lows.

Fellow trader Nebraskan Gooner meanwhile eyed a series of higher lows on the 4-hour chart, highlighting $30,400 as “the line to beat.”

Metric hints BTC price “overvalued”

Beyond intraday price action, however, cold feat among many analysts remained.

Related: Largest difficulty drop since July 2021 — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

For on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, concerning signs from the network transaction value (NVT) Golden Cross metric suggested a retracement was incoming.

Designed to catch local tops and bottoms, a spike in NVT Golden Cross, as was occurring on the day, reinforced the idea that volume was not sufficient to sustain upwards trajectory.

“We have a significant change in the NVT Golden Cross indicator where it has reached its most overvalued position since April last year before the dip to the June lows,” CryptoQuant contributing analyst Kripto Mevsimi told Cointelegraph.

As Cointelegraph reported, forecasts for a generational bottom in BTC/USD included as low as $15,500 this week.

A new all-time high, meanwhile, might have to wait until 2024, when Bitcoin’s next halving cycle begins.

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross chart. Source: CryptoQuant

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